United Airlines Holdings Stock Performance

UAL Stock  USD 103.94  1.62  1.58%   
United Airlines has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.0303, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, United Airlines' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding United Airlines is expected to be smaller as well. United Airlines Holdings right now has a risk of 2.52%. Please validate United Airlines semi variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to decide if United Airlines will be following its existing price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in United Airlines Holdings are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite weak basic indicators, United Airlines may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.56)
Five Day Return
(4.31)
Year To Date Return
(9.46)
Ten Year Return
109.41
All Time Return
224.07
Last Split Factor
4:1
Dividend Date
2008-01-23
Ex Dividend Date
2008-01-07
Last Split Date
1996-05-21
1
Acquisition by Friend Matthew of 347 shares of United Airlines subject to Rule 16b-3
12/31/2025
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Begin Period Cash Flow8.9 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-6.3 B

United Airlines Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  9,611  in United Airlines Holdings on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  783.00  from holding United Airlines Holdings or generate 8.15% return on investment over 90 days. United Airlines Holdings is generating 0.1576% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.5222% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 22% of stocks are less volatile than United, and above 97% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon United Airlines is expected to generate 3.4 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.4 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

United Airlines Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of United Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 103.94 90 days 103.94 
about 54.35
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of United Airlines to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 54.35 (This United Airlines Holdings probability density function shows the probability of United Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon United Airlines has a beta of 0.0303. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, United Airlines average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding United Airlines Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally United Airlines Holdings has an alpha of 0.0892, implying that it can generate a 0.0892 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   United Airlines Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for United Airlines

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Airlines Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
101.14103.66106.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
93.55121.27123.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
98.33100.85103.37
Details
25 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
126.28138.77154.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as United Airlines. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against United Airlines' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, United Airlines' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in United Airlines Holdings.

United Airlines Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. United Airlines is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the United Airlines' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold United Airlines Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of United Airlines within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
8.32
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

United Airlines Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of United Airlines for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for United Airlines Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 91.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from carscoops.com: Bentleys New GT S Can Drift, Roar, And Drive 50 Miles Without Gas

United Airlines Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of United Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential United Airlines' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Airlines' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding327 M
Cash And Short Term Investments12.2 B

United Airlines Fundamentals Growth

United Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of United Airlines, and United Airlines fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on United Stock performance.

About United Airlines Performance

By examining United Airlines' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into United Airlines' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that United Airlines is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 26.80  29.88 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.05 
Return On Capital Employed 0.09  0.10 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.22  0.30 

Things to note about United Airlines Holdings performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about United Airlines for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for United Airlines Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 91.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from carscoops.com: Bentleys New GT S Can Drift, Roar, And Drive 50 Miles Without Gas
Evaluating United Airlines' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate United Airlines' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing United Airlines' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether United Airlines' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining United Airlines' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating United Airlines' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of United Airlines' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of United Airlines' stock. These opinions can provide insight into United Airlines' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating United Airlines' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact United Airlines' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether United Airlines Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze United Airlines' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact United Airlines' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding United Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in United Airlines Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Is Passenger Airlines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United Airlines. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive United Airlines assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.083
Earnings Share
10.04
Revenue Per Share
179.817
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.048
Return On Assets
0.0413
The market value of United Airlines Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United Airlines' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United Airlines' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United Airlines' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United Airlines' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Airlines' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United Airlines is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, United Airlines' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.